Is it dangerous to retire in a stock market bubble?
- Matthew Goff

- Nov 3
- 1 min read
Updated: Nov 13
In this video, I discuss the risks of retiring during a stock market bubble, emphasizing that the stakes are particularly high for new retirees. Using the Schiller Cape ratio, I highlight that we are currently above 40, indicating historically elevated stock prices, which often lead to low expected returns over the next decade. I illustrate the critical concept of sequence of returns and how it can drastically impact retirees' portfolios, showing examples from those who retired in 1995 versus 2000. I urge viewers to consider rebalancing their portfolios, adjusting their strategies for longevity of income, diversifying their investments, and seeking professional advice if needed. It's essential to recognize that the complexity of managing retirement funds increases significantly, and getting help from an expert can be crucial for financial stability.

